Population Projections for Japan : 2016-2065 |National Institute of Population and Social Security Research
Population Projections for Japan : 2016-2065 |National Institute of Population and Social Security Research: Population Size and Growth
According to the 2015 Population Census, which serves as the base year for these projections, the total population of Japan in that year was 127.09 million (total population including non-Japanese residents).
Based on the results of the medium-fertility projection, Japan is expected to enter a long period of population decline. The population is expected to decrease to around 110.92 million by 2040, fall below 100 million to 99.24 million by 2053, and drop to 88.08 million by 2065 (see Table 1-1 and Figure 1-1).
Based on the results of the high-fertility projection, the total population is expected to drop below the 100 million mark to 99.52 million by 2059, and to decrease further to 94.90 million by 2065 (see Table 1-2 and Figure 1-1).
Conversely, based on the low-fertility projection, the total population is expected to fall below 100 million by 2049 and to decline to 82.13 million by 2065 (see Table 1-3 and Figure 1-1).
In comparison with the results for the previous projection (2065 by the long-range auxiliary projection), the total population increased by 6.72 million from 81.35 million to 88.08 million, and the year that the total population decreased to below 100 million was delayed by 5 years from 2048 to 2053 for the medium-fertility variant.
According to the 2015 Population Census, which serves as the base year for these projections, the total population of Japan in that year was 127.09 million (total population including non-Japanese residents).
Based on the results of the medium-fertility projection, Japan is expected to enter a long period of population decline. The population is expected to decrease to around 110.92 million by 2040, fall below 100 million to 99.24 million by 2053, and drop to 88.08 million by 2065 (see Table 1-1 and Figure 1-1).
Based on the results of the high-fertility projection, the total population is expected to drop below the 100 million mark to 99.52 million by 2059, and to decrease further to 94.90 million by 2065 (see Table 1-2 and Figure 1-1).
Conversely, based on the low-fertility projection, the total population is expected to fall below 100 million by 2049 and to decline to 82.13 million by 2065 (see Table 1-3 and Figure 1-1).
In comparison with the results for the previous projection (2065 by the long-range auxiliary projection), the total population increased by 6.72 million from 81.35 million to 88.08 million, and the year that the total population decreased to below 100 million was delayed by 5 years from 2048 to 2053 for the medium-fertility variant.